"Star Wars: The Old Republic" may not be released until January 2012
Analysts announced earlier this week that EA has invested over $80 million in the
development of BioWare's first MMO "Star Wars: The Old
Republic."
"Star Wars: The Old Republic" is a new massively multiplayer online (MMO) game
that is currently under development by BioWare and LucasArts. The game takes
place 300 years after the events of "Star Wars: Knights of the Old
Republic" and thousands of years before
Luke Skywalker and Darth Vader, which is a
fairly unexplored era of
"Star Wars" chronology.
Users will be able to choose from many different character roles such as Jedi or
Sith, and give context to their personal story with the option to follow the
light or the dark side of the Force. In addition, players can join friends
through the game's battles.
Now, EA has reported that its total investment in the "Star Wars" MMO has
reached $80 million in development alone.
"The contribution from
the 'Star Wars' MMO is significant,"
said Michael Pachter, Wedbush Securities analyst. "Under the terms of its
deals with LucasArts, EA is required to pay a royalty, but was required to
front all of the development, marketing and distribution costs, as well as the
costs of building out servers for the game. We estimate that LucasArts’ share
is 33 percent of revenues, after EA recoups its investment in game development.
Given that the game was in development for over four years, with an estimated
200 full-time developers working on it, we estimate that
EA's investment exceeds $80 million.
"Fortunately
for investors, the company expenses R&D spending, meaning that its revenues
on sales of the 'Star Wars' MMO DVD will be pure profit. EA will be required to
spend marketing dollars on the game, and we estimate total manufacturing,
marketing and distribution spending will total around $20 million, meaning that
at two million units sold, EA will generate $60 million of operating profit on
the DVD sales."
Pachter also noted that EA will not need a certain number of subscribers for "Star
Wars: The Old Republic" to make a profit.
"We estimate that
EA will cover its direct
operating costs and break even at 500,000 subscribers (actual number
is closer to 350,000 subscribers), meaning that with 1.5 million paying
subscribers, EA will have 1 million profitable subs," said Pachter.
"We estimate that the incremental operating cost for each subscriber above
break even is around $5 per month, so if the revenue split is 33 percent to
LucasArts ($5 per subscriber per month), EA will be left with $5 per subscriber
per month in operating profit. At 1 million profitable subscribers over the last
six months of its fiscal year, EA should generate $30 million in operating
profit from subscribers."
EA also announced this week that the launch of "Star Wars: The Old Republic"
may be delayed until January 2012.